Heterogeneous impact of cytomegalovirus reactivation on nonrelapse mortality in hematopoietic stem cell transplantation
Satoshi Kaito,1,* Yujiro Nakajima,2,3,* Konan Hara,1,4 Takashi Toya, 1 Tetsuya Nishida,5 Naoyuki Uchida,6 Junichi Mukae,1 Takahiro Fukuda,7 Yukiyasu Ozawa,8 Masatsugu Tanaka,9 Kazuhiro Ikegame,10 Yuta Katayama,11 Takuro Kuriyama,12 Junya Kanda,13 Yoshiko Atsuta,14,15 Masao Ogata,16 Ayumi Taguchi,17 and Kazuteru Ohashi1


Cytomegalovirus (CMV) infection is a major complication in allogeneic stem cell transplantation. The utility of CMV prophylaxis with letermovir has been reported; however, the specific applications remain unclear. In this study, we retrospectively analyzed large-scale registry data (N = 10 480) to clarify the risk factors for nonrelapse mortality (NRM) in connection with CMV reactivation. First, we identified risk factors for CMV reactivation using multivariate analysis and developed a scoring model. Although the model effectively stratified reactivation risk into 3 groups (43.7% vs 60.9% vs 71.5%; P < .001), the 3-year NRM was significantly higher in patients with CMV reactivation, even in the low (20.9% vs 13.0%, P < .001), intermediate (21.4% vs 15.6%; P < .001), and high (29.3% vs 18.0%; P < .001) reactivation risk groups. Next, survival analysis considering competing risks, time-dependent covariates, and interaction terms for exploring the heterogeneous impact of CMV reactivation on NRM in the training cohort revealed that chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) (hazard ratio [HR], 1.76; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-2.96; P = .033), good performance status (PS) (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.04-1.94; P = .028), HLA-matched donor (HR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.06-1.70; P = .013), and standard-risk disease (HR, 1.28; 95% CI, 1.04-1.58; P = .022) were associated with increased NRM. In the test cohort, CMV reactivation was significantly associated with increased 3-year NRM among patients with 2 to 4 factors (22.1% vs 13.1%; P < .001) but was comparable among patients with 0 or 1 factor (23.2% vs 20.4%; P = .62). We propose that CMV prophylaxis should be determined based on reactivation risk, as well as these other factors.